World Cup Countdown: Brazil update
Not far back, when October loomed and Brazil went about wrapping up their World Cup qualifying campaign, I was just one of many voices praising Dunga’s man management and, whatever reservations I had as to the team’s shape and tactics, it was self-evident that the canarinha were reaping the benefits of having a settled squad in which all but fringe places were decided. Few, if any, of the major national teams who seriously covet gold in South Africa can lay such a claim. Indeed, some struggled to qualify whilst others still have been churning through a dizzying turnover of players or resting their hopes on the return to fitness of talismanic figures. Not so Brazil.
Come the New Year and this generally still holds true; albeit the next few months will not be without concern for the Brazilian coaching staff as club form and injuries start to impede on even the most well-laid of plans.
If modern football is said to be a 14-man game, acknowledging the importance of key substitutions, it appears that Dunga’s favoured starting line-up is the following, a. Julio Cesar in goal; Lucio and Juan the centre-back pairing with Maicon usually getting the nod at right back ahead of Daniel Alves , who serves as Dunga’s wild card in a variety of positions; screening just ahead of them are Gilberto Silva and Felipe Melo with the close cooperation of a third body in there, either Elano , ( valued for his set-piece deliveries) or Ramires who brings all round dynamism to the mix; the attacking midfield slot is the preserve of Kaká, whose understudy is that eternal Dunga confidante Julio Baptista; the wide-left attacking position is held by Robinho – another favourite of Dunga’s, with Nilmar of Villarreal offering the alternative; and the No.9 shirt goes to Luis Fabiano whose deputy is an Adriano who is at last showing some signs of consistency and mental happiness back in his homeland.
No doubt you will have noted the absence of a left-back in my above summary; this intentionally reflects Dunga’s own predicament on the matter. André Santos earned call-ups on the back of impressive performances for Corinthians, but he has since been finding it hard to settle into his new side Fenerbahce; going so far as to getting involved and punished in a sex orgy scandal. But even accounting for this off-field indiscretion, André can be thankful that persistent injury left a more obvious candidate, Fábio Aurelio, indisposed at critical stages over the past year, whilst Deportivo La Coruña’s Filipe Luis failed to translate his admirable club form to the international sphere during the sole opportunity conceded him. In fact, Dunga has even experimented with Daniel Alves there, which goes to show how ill-assured he is by the current batch of pretenders.
Another area which we had previously considered done and dusted was the options from attacking midfield. Kaka will doubtlessly be the occupant of the No.10 sector, but his patchy form for Madrid, and by extension the possibility of injury-however slight- may well hamper the one player who is truly indispensable in this set-up. Julio Baptista is clearly a step below in light of Kaka, and brings less obvious qualities to the position, but even he has been poor for Roma this season, often failing to make the starting XI. If Diego couldn’t impress Dunga during his impressive spells with Werder Bremen, his recent performances for Juventus should see him failing to make the cut; a sad thing in my opinion, but a reflection of reality nonetheless.
This is not unrelated to the doubts surrounding Robinho’s starting place. For the national team, he has been a fixed starter despite his abject participation in Manchester City’s past season and a half. Clearly, the thinking of the management is to boost his confidence whilst his club career reaches some level of stability, and indeed the player has reciprocated the fraternal embrace of the national team- surely a relief for the man coming from Eastlands –with performances and application which have been more than acceptable. But surely Dunga cannot have been hoping that Robinho’s awol status at City would be such a protracted affair- and this becomes alarming coming into the final stretch before the World Cup begins. Hence, the entry in the past few games of Nilmar, who has responded with lively appearances and goals, is a godsend. Initially, Nilmar had been expected to slug it out in the pecking order for the No.0 shirt behind Luis Fabiano, Adriano and Pato. But the Milan forward has oddly, given his form for the rossoneri, been pushed to the margins and the demands for the position now in the coaches’ eyes appear to correspond to burly target men.
And now a distinct possibility is the return of Ronaldinho should his resurrection for Milan be sustained. But whereas before, Dinho was part of an attacking midfield duo alongside Kaka or else as a replacement for him, now there is the tantalizing prospect- however remote- that the gaucho will be considered for the outside-left position, a familiar brief to him from his Barcelona days and now his improving level at Milan.
Fringe players include centre-back Miranda of Sao Paulo and Wolfsburg’s Josué who usually comes in to replace one of the defensive midfielders. This is a sector which should cause Brazil a headache should Felipe Melo’s bleak period at Juventus continue, yet Dunga has leaped to the defence of the bianconero misfit saying that with Melo, Brazil have never lost a competitive game. And, of course, it has become customary for the national team to leave two or three peripheral places up for grabs amongst those Brazilian championship players who steal the headlines; this season’s beneficiaries have been Diego Souza (offensive mid- Palmeiras) and Diego Tardelli (striker for Atletico Mineiro). These places, however, are subject to form and fitness during the protracted state championships (from February until April) whilst the national league only gets underway in May.
By and large, we are likely to see the same collection of players in South Africa come June, though don’t be surprised if two key positions become a burning uncertainty.
I'm surprised you didn't mention Michel Bastos. He can play left back which as you say is a problem area, and he can also play the left attacking role if Robinho isn't available or is out of form.
ReplyDeleteExcellent round-up. Aleksi took the words right out of my mouth on Bastos as a potential option at left-back. He was absolutely superb for Lille last season and, while he hasn't yet hit the heights for Lyon, he's still been one of their most effective players in a generally disappointing season. I can't see him getting into the team ahead of Robinho and Ronaldinho on the left flank, however, particularly when Ronaldinho is playing as well as he is at the moment.
ReplyDeleteAs much as I hate to say it, Brazil from an attacking sense are a one-man team. Without Kaka, their dynamism falls apart and while they may be still dangerous in parts, their team mechanics slightly fall apart.
ReplyDeleteReplacing Kaka will be the biggest job for Dunga as more or less his team is decided. Dinho is a bit static in the centre these days and his only bet in the team looks on the left or as an impact sub.
Bastos at left back? Looks a winger to me and if I was a right-sided attacker, I would be licking my lips if facing him.
Dudu looks good at Olympiakos (for Melo/Gilberto maybe); similarly Jadson at Shakhtar in the Kaka role.
Another fine post. One problem for Brazil is that they have too many international players.
ReplyDeleteNot sure they are a one-man team, ArsenalColumn, Maicon or Alves, Robinho, Ronaldinho, Elano, Luis Fabiano, Pato are hardly useless.
RCM
http://leftbackinthechangingroom.blogspot.com
I agree, Bastos would probably be the first choice right-back for me - possibly adding similarly to the left what Maicon and Alves add to the right.
ReplyDeleteWould like to see him more of him.
RCM
Brazil have some fantastic players but their attacking team mechanics will suffer if Kaka is not at the top of his game or missing. I don't have proof or anything, but they haven't looked as good without Kaka and similarly need him to spark to get more out of the rest.
ReplyDeleteOf course, we've fathomed that pressuring the volante's will expose some of their weaknesses but as that is yet to happen we don't know what the effects will be on the attacking side.